Tremors

A debt crisis does not come slowly and predictably. This year's short term bond holders, a very risk averse lot, are mostly interested i...

Creating a Surface Watch

A great EFG

On Friday, I went to the NBER EFG (Economic Fluctuations and Growth) meeting at the SF Fed. Program and papers here .  The papers were great...

Slok on QE, and a great paper

DB's Torsten Sløk writes in his regular email analysis: Yesterday I participated in the annual US Monetary Policy Forum here in Manhatt...

If you run a business out of your home, here’s why you should talk to your insurance agent

If you run a business out of your home, your homeowner insurance policy may not cover you adequately. Homeowner insurance policies typicall...

Never lose your original treatment plan estimates

Deficits

The graph is federal surplus (up) or deficit (down), not counting interest costs, divided by potential GDP. I made it for another purpose,...

Kreidler’s consumer advocates recovered $18.9 million for consumers in 2017

Most people know that we regulate insurance in Washington state, but many aren’t aware that we also help consumers when they have questions...

Stock Gyrations

Is this 1929, the beginning of the end? Or 2007? Is it 1974, annus horribilis in which the stock market drifted down 40% having something to...

It's Tax Time! Here is Help on Printouts for Patients

Truck automation

Two bits from Marginal Revolution on truck automation are so good they merit passing on here. Can Hanson writes this amazing comment I wond...

Convexification and complication

From Richard Rubin at WSJ : The new tax law’s treatment of deductions gives people more reasons to concentrate giving in certain years, bot...